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An American Cyber-Column
Super PACs
Monday, September 14, 2015
It has been an axiom of politics since 2010 that you cant be a legitimate candidate for your partys nomination for President if you dont have a Super PAC associated but not coordinating with you.
The basic rule of Super PACs, according to OpenSecrets.org:
Super PACs may raise unlimited sums of money from corporations, unions, associations and individuals, then spend unlimited sums to overtly advocate for or against political candidates.
Super PACs must, however, report their donors to the Federal Election Commission. Unlike traditional PACs, Super PACs are prohibited from donating money directly to political candidates.
See where the definition of a Super PAC includes the phrase may raise unlimited sums? That means it can take a check from any legitimate donor in any amount. Millions at a time if you can find a guy with a big enough checkbook.
A Federal campaign can only receive checks from individuals up to $2,700 per cycle. It is called hard money not in the least because it is very hard to raise.
The reason Super PACs came into my line of sight this weekend was because of the demise of the Rick Perry campaign. Several weeks ago it became known he had no money in his campaign account to pay his staff.
The Super PAC that was organized to support Governor Perry is named the Opportunity and Freedom PAC. According to the Washington Post, the PAC had raisednearly $17 million bymid-July and most of it came from just three donors.
In August the PAC said it was taking over the ground game function in Iowa it was going to pay for the offices and staff on behalf of the campaign. But if the PAC cant coordinate with the campaign, how to you get the candidate scheduled into the coffee shop in Ottumwa that the PAC paid to organize and advance?
Staff is not permitted to move back and forth between a campaign and its associated PAC. According to the Associated Press Super PACs have to wait 120 days to bring aboard anyone currently with a federal campaign.
There has been a theory that the existence of Super PACs would allow candidates to stay in this process longer than they might otherwise. That is true to some degree. Without question Newt Gingrich was able to stay in the 2012 race because of donations by Sheldon Adelson to his Super PAC but, in the end it just extended the inevitable.
Gingrich once said that a campaign is an entrepreneurial endeavor: If people like what you say and the way youre saying it, theyll donate money to keep you going.
Raising money $25, $50 or even $2,700 at a time requires an enormous investment on the part of the campaign in the candidates time, the staffs talent, travel and events. No matter how successful the Super PAC fundraising is, a campaign simply cant survive with the candidate flying coach with one staff aide, staying at motels with outside entrances to the rooms, driving around in a borrowed four-year-old SUV.
Other players have large amounts in their Super PAC funds. Gov. Scott Walkers PAC, according to Open Secrets has raised over $20 million. Sen. Marco Rubios PAC has raised $16 million, and Sen,. Ted Cruz three PACs have raised an astonishing $36 million.
The most recent poll in Iowa has Cruz at 10% (3rd), Rubio at 6% (4th) and Walker at 5% (5th). Carly Fiorina is right behind them at 4%.
They all trail Donald Trump with 29% (no Super PAC) and Dr. Ben Carson (about $7 million in two Super PACs) right on his shoulder with 25%.
The amount of money available to these candidates is not reflective of their current standing, at least in Iowa.
On the other side, Sec. Hillary Clintons PACs have raised over $16 million, but she trails Sen. Bernie Sanders (who has no Super PAC support) by 10 percentage points 43% - 33%.
What does this tell us?
It tells us that Super PACs can provide a lot of cover, but they cant cover up a campaign or a candidate that is not making the retail sale.
For my many Jewish readers, happy new year. Heres to a happy and healthy 5776.
BONUS LAD LINK: Heres Reeds pre-game look at the Reagan Library Debate. Also, take a minute and participate in this short survey.
On the Secret Decoder Ring page today: A link to the WaPos coverage of Rick Perrys exit, to the OpenSecrets.org Super PAC page and to the summary of the CBS poll released last week.
Also a Mullfoto that amused me for its marketing expertise.
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